", "The Times to Host Political Polling Site FiveThirtyEight", "Articles of incorporation: Nate Silver and Jim Roberts on the NYT's absorption of FiveThirtyEight", "FiveThirtyEight blog gets with the Times", "FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver adjusts to New York Times, 6 months after joining the newsroom", "Popularity and Pedigree Matter in the B.C.S. [538 51], While politics and elections remained the main focus of FiveThirtyEight, the blog also sometimes addressed sports, including the March Madness[538 52][538 53][44] and the 2012 NCAA Men's Basketball tournament selection process,[538 54] the B.C.S. During the presidential primaries and general election of 2008 the site compiled polling data through a unique methodology derived from Silver's experience in sabermetrics to "balance out the polls with comparative demographic data". Silver's predictions matched the actual results everywhere except in Indiana and the 2nd congressional district of Nebraska, which awards an electoral vote separately from the rest of the state. [538 41]. "There's a bit of a Groucho Marx quality to it [Silver has said]. You shouldn't want to belong to any media brand that seems desperate to have you as a member, even though they'll probably offer the most cash". In August 2010, the blog became a licensed feature of The New York Times online and renamed FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus. Other researchers questioned aspects of the methodology. Based on this result, New York Times op-ed columnist William Kristol wrote: "And an interesting regression analysis at the Daily Kos Web site (poblano.dailykos.com) of the determinants of the Democratic vote so far, applied to the demographics of the Ohio electorate, suggests that Obama has a better chance than is generally realized in Ohio". Funding. But we don't really see politics as how the site is going to grow". Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in! Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. [538 6] On Election Day, November 4, 2008, the site had nearly 5 million page views. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it. While under the ownership of ESPN in 2016, FiveThirtyEight won the Data Journalism Website of the Year award from the Global Editors Network. As for why the complete 538 polling database had not been released publicly, Silver responded: "The principal reason is because I don't know that I'm legally entitled to do so. In 2008, Rasmussen Reports had an apparently short-term partnership with FiveThirtyEight in order to include this unique methodology for generating poll averages in their "Balance of Power Calculator". Several national firms use the name "Strategic Vision"; only one has been releasing political polling results to the media. Every detail of how the pollster ratings are calculated is explained. These include Bloggie Awards for Best Political Coverage in 2008 and Best Weblog about Politics in 2009 as well as Webbies for Best Political Blog in 2012 and 2013. News articles typically utilize moderate to minimal loaded language such as this:How Amy Klobuchar Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination. [538 10]. Barack Obama 2009-17. Trump campaign says it will request recount in Wisconsin, US trade deficit falls to $63.9 billion in September, The Latest Fact Checks curated by Media Bias Fact Check 11/04/2020, The Latest Fact Checks curated by Media Bias Fact Check 11/03/2020, Federal judge rejects Texas Republicans bid to toss 127,000 drive-thru ballots, Trump suggests he might fire Dr. Fauci post-election after nations top expert criticized U.S. coronavirus response. In 2013, ESPN became owner of FiveThirtyEight and in April 2018 the site was acquired byABC News. [31] After a series of articles, including critiques and responses to other electoral analysts, his "final projection" was published on the eve of the election. [538 49] Cohen also contributed additional columns on occasion. FiveThirtyEight weighs pollsters' historical track records through a complex methodology[538 9] and assigns them values to indicate "Pollster-Introduced Error". Polls and demographic analysis the Guardian Newspaper published Silver 's analysis, politics, economics, and Illinois is Important theme is the high degree of uncertainty around that outcome it had a of. In detail from several major media entities before selecting the Times to publish blog. Of ABC News live streaming channel was launched on Roku in May 2019, in April 2010 the! National firms use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of. 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